Supply Chain Journal July 2024

Maritime Cargo, GDP Growth & The Election Trade

Port of LA gets smarter, the Fed eyes September, and the election reshapes supply chain strategy.

Maritime Cargo Labor Market & GDP Rate Cuts & Election Season Port of LA Sector Rotation $8M Grant

5 min read ยท July 2024

Good Morning, Good Evening, and Good Night โ€” wherever you're reading this. Welcome back to the Daiiv Journal.

July โ€” The Summer of Big Decisions

July's heat was on โ€” and so was the momentum of change. Markets, elections, and freight trends converged into a pivotal month for supply chain.

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Port of LA โ€” $8M Upgrade for Smarter Cargo
Predictive analytics + carbon tracking coming to America's busiest port

Maritime Cargo โ€” Port of LA Gets Smarter

$8M
CA State Grant
3
Focus Areas
Pre-Pandemic
Volume Recovery

The Port of Los Angeles received an $8M California state grant to upgrade its Port Optimizer system. Three focus areas: (1) Truck Appointment System โ€” smarter container flow management; (2) California Ports Mobile App โ€” new UI for logistics stakeholders; (3) Carbon Impact Gateway โ€” real-time Green Asset Scores for rail, trucking, vessels, and port equipment.

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Labor Market & GDP โ€” Strong But Shifting
Job openings dipping, quits at 4-year low

Labor Market & GDP Growth

Job openings fell to 8.18 million in July โ€” the number of people quitting hit a 4-year low. Despite robust GDP growth in Q2, prices remain elevated, personal consumption rose modestly, and personal savings continue to slow. The consumer is resilient but stretched.

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Rate Cuts & The Election Trade
September cut incoming โ€” who wins shapes supply chain policy

Rate Cuts & Election Season

As of July 31st, the Fed left rates at 5.25โ€“5.5% but strongly signaled September as the first cut. Two conditions would accelerate action: continued good inflation data, or a sudden worsening of economic conditions.

Rate cuts favor small-cap stocks (Russell 2000) over mega-cap tech. Sector rotation from large-cap to small-cap industrials and logistics companies is a real possibility. Borrowing becomes easier for smaller carriers โ€” a potential freight tailwind.

The November election adds another variable. Trump policies would favor domestic energy, tariffs, and crypto. Harris policies would prioritize clean energy, international trade, and middle-class business support. Either outcome reshapes supply chain strategy for the next four years.

"Regardless of who wins in November, I'm optimistic that the country will grow โ€” and our portfolios as well."

"The second half of 2024 belongs to those who adapt fastest โ€” to rate changes, to the election outcome, and to the shifting freight market."

โ€” Daivik Suresh, July 2024

-DAIVIK SURESH-

Supply Chain + Business Analytics Enthusiast ยท July 2024

Not financial advice. All opinions are personal. Investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.

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